Tropical system near Florida may bring heavy rain to gulf coast states — including Louisiana and Southeast Texas
- Current Location & Movement:
- A tropical disturbance off Florida’s east coast is being monitored as it moves west toward the Gulf of Mexico over the next 1–2 days.
- Storm Development Chances:
- The National Hurricane Center gives the system a 40% chance of developing into a tropical depression or named storm (Dexter) by the end of the week.
- Forecast Uncertainty:
- Forecast models are struggling to determine the system’s exact path and potential strength.
- High pressure currently pushing the storm westward could either keep it moving toward Texas or allow it to turn north into Louisiana.
- Rainfall Threat:
- Heavy rainfall is the main concern, especially for Louisiana, regardless of storm development.
- Flood Watches have been issued for multiple Louisiana parishes.
- Forecasts show 3–6 inches of rain are likely in parts of Louisiana, with isolated totals up to 10–15 inches.
- Impact on Houston & Southeast Texas:
- Houston is not expected to see a tropical storm form directly overhead.
- Rain chances in the Houston area will depend heavily on the system’s final track.
- If the system shifts west, Houston and Southeast Texas could see increased rainfall.
- If it stalls or turns north, Louisiana will bear the brunt of the impacts.
- Timing of Impacts:
- Rain could begin as early as Friday in affected areas.
- Wet weather may linger through the weekend and early next week, depending on storm movement.

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